Earth System Prediction Working Group (ESPWG)

The goal of the ESPWG is to advance fundamental understanding of Earth system predictability on time scales ranging from subseasonal to decadal. Towards that end, this working group will bring together a multidisciplinary group of researchers interested in how initial conditions influence the near-term evolution of CESM simulations. A key focus will be the generation and analysis of initialized ensemble simulations that shed light on the predictability of different components of the Earth system. You can subscribe to CESM ESPWG List to receive email updates about the working group.

Simulations

Recent / Notable

• Subseasonal reforecasts with CESM2(CAM6) and CESM2(WACCM6)
• Subseasonal reforecasts with CESM2(CAM6) - climatology experiments
• The Seasonal-to-multiyear Large Ensemble (SMYLE) Experiment
  • Real-time SMYLE forecasts

Past

• Subseasonal reforecasts with CESM1
• Decadal Prediction Large Ensemble (DPLE)