Atmosphere Model, Chemistry Climate, Earth System Prediction, Climate Variability & Change, and Whole Atmosphere Working Group Meeting 2025

Agenda Track

Monday, February 3rd, 2025

Mesa Lab- Main Seminar Room

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Overview of what's new in CAM7

Peter Lauritzen

Overview of what's new in Chemistry/aerosols

Simone Tilmes

Overview of what's new in high top modeling

Nick Pedatella/Martina Bramberger

Coupled model evaluation

Current status of CESM development simulations

Isla Simpson

High frequency variability

Rich Neale

Assessing the El Nino Southern Oscillation in development version of the Community Earth System Model (CESM)

Meg Fowler

Break

AERO-Map: A data compilation and modelling approach to understand spatial variability in fine and coarse mode aerosol composition

Natalie Mahowald

 

Specific features of new model

Update on gravity wave sources for CAM

Julio Bacmeister

New developments of modeling mineral dust cycle in CESM3/CAM7

Danny Leung

Impact of vertical resolution and model top height on stratospheric large-scale circulation

Martina Bramberger

Adjourn to Southern Sun for Happy Hour

Agenda Track

Tuesday, February 4th, 2025

Mesa Lab- Main Seminar Room

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#1 CVCWG updates

Isla Simpson/Aixue Hu/Sarah Larson

An introduction to MethaneMIP: Investigating the climate and health benefits of methane mitigation

Mark England (Remote)

Future International Assessment Exercises using the Whole Atmosphere Community to Climate Model

Doug Kinneson

Introduction to ESPAT

Yaga Richter

ESPWG updates

Steve Yeager/Kathy Pegion

Break

Advancing Long-Range ENSO Prediction through Large Ensemble Data and Transfer Learning with AI/ML Approaches

Sathish Chandra Akula (Remote)

 

Seasonal Predictability of Vapor Pressure Deficit in the western United States

Melissa Breeden

Predictability of Temperature Extremes in Multi-Annual Forecasts

Eirini Tsartsali (Remote)

Diagnosing Land-Atmosphere Coupling Strength from MPAS- NoahMP in S2S forecasts

Zhe Zhang (Remote)

Lunch

High Resolution Modeling 

MESACLIP project and update

Gokhan Danabasoglu

EarthWorks Progress

Dave Randall

Atmospheric rivers driven precipitation extremes in non-hydrostatic CESM simulations over the Western US

Xingying Huang (Remote)

AI-empowered Next-generation Multiscale Climate Modeling for Mitigation and Adaptation

Veronika Eyring

LEAP/M2LINES overview

Dave Lawrence

Break

Machine Learning

CAMulator: Fast Emulation of the Community Atmosphere Model

Will Chapman

A Roadmap for ML-assisted Ice Microphysics Parameterizations in PUMAS

Joseph Ko (Remote)

Implementation of a neural-network convection scheme in the Community Atmosphere Model

Paul O'Gorman (Remote)

Probabilistic Machine Learning for Stochastic Parameterization of Deep Convection Triggering

Greta Miller

Adjourn

Agenda Track

Wednesday, February 5th, 2025

Mesa Lab

ATMOSPHERE MODEL WORKING GROUP - DAMON ROOM 

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Non-monotonic Convective Response to Vertical Wind Shear: A Closer Look from Cloud Resolving Model Simulations

Yang Tian

The double-ITCZ bias and the nontraditional Coriolis terms

Hing Ong (Remote)

The impact of the negative level midst of the convective latent heating profile on the QBO

Yuanpu Li

Flexible radiation diagnostics to enable new science applications in model evaluation, climate change detection, and satellite mission design

Jonah Shaw

Break

Impediments to model tuning: Stubborn biases, tuning trade-offs, and nonlinear parameter dependence

Vince Larson

How do countergradient momentum fluxes in CLUBB affect the general circulation in CAM6?

Kyle Nardi

Cyclones at Quarter-Degree Resolution: Updated CAM with Prognostic Vs. Diagnostic Momentum Fluxes Compared to CAM5 and CAM6

Ben Stephens

Updates on the unified turbulence and convection parameterization CLUBB+MF

Adam Herrington

A sectional cloud microphysical model (CARMA Cloud) in CESM2

Cheng-Cheng Liu

Lunch

CLUBB Tutorial (ML- Chapman Room)

Adjourn

EARTH SYSTEM PREDICTION AND CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND CHANGE WORKING GROUPS - MAIN SEMINAR ROOM 

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ESPWG Color Coded Agenda

Predictability of tropical Pacific decadal variability is dominated by oceanic Rossby waves

Xian Wu (Remote)

North Pacific meridional mode has larger impacts on El Niño evolution than the March Madden-Julian Oscillation

Yu Liang (Remote)

Predictability of the 2020 Strong Vortex in the Antarctic Stratosphere and the Role of Ozone

Julie Arblaster

Ensemble reuse: Impact of soil moisture guided ensemble sub-selection on the forecast skill of air temperature

Daisuke Tokuda

Break

An Earth-System-Oriented View of the S2S Predictability of North American Weather Regimes

Jhayron Perez (Remote) 

Can Transfer Learning be Used to Identify Tropical State-Dependent Bias Relevant to Midlatitude Subseasonal Predictability?

Kirsten Mayer

Developing a Framework for Evaluating Sources of Predictability for Extreme Events on Subseasonal Timescales in Southeast Asia & Latin America

Gabrielle Brown (Remote)

Investigating the limited role of land on atmospheric predictability in CESM2

Meg Fowler

Lunch

An optimal strategy for GEOS-S2S-3 ensemble forecasts

Andrea Molod (Remote)

Do AI Models Produce Better Atmospheric River Forecasts than Physics Based Models? A Quantitative Evaluation

Isaac Davis

ESPWG Discussion

Break

CESM2 single anthropogenic greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing large ensembles

Yu-Chiao Liang

Recent Atlantic multidecadal variability and other climate modes are mostly dominated by external forcings

Chengfei He (Remote)

Signs of chaos in observed and simulated El Niño/Southern Oscillation

Pedro DiNezio

Disentangling warming and circulation influences on precipitation using nudging experiments

Ari Varuolo-Clarke

Tropical Pacific warming patterns influence future hydroclimate shifts and extremes in the Americas

Nathan Lenssen

The updated Multi-Model Large Ensemble Archive and the Climate Variability Diagnostics Package: New tools for the study of climate variability and change

Nicola Maher

CVCWG Discussion

Adjourn

CHEMISTRY CLIMATE AND WHOLE ATMOSPHERE WORKING GROUP - DAMON ROOM 

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A Comparison Between the MOZART-TS1 and MOZART-TS4 Chemical Mechanisms

Shawn Honomichl

Drivers of biogenic secondary organic aerosol from the past to the present and the future

Yang Shi

Biogenic Emissions Modulate the Tropospheric Hydroxyl Radical (OH) Response to Climate Warming

Qindan Zhu (Remote)

Key role of short-lived halogens on global atmospheric oxidation during historical periods

Adriana Bossolasco (Remote)

Key role of short-lived halogens on global atmospheric oxidation during historical periods

Behrooz Roozitalab (Remote)

Marine emissions of methanethiol increase aerosol cooling in the Southern Ocean

Julian Villamayor (Remote)

Break

Evaluation of MUSICAv0 simulations of SE Asia air quality

Louisa Emmons

Update CMIP7 forcing set processing

Ben Gaubert

Attributing 1995-2014 tropospheric ozone trends to specific sources in the presence of climate variability: Fingerprinting anthropogenic and biomass burning sources

Xinyuan Yu (Remote)

Fingerprinting the Recovery of Antarctic Ozone

Peidong Wang

It's YES for NO: Transport of Nitric Oxide in the Winter Mesosphere and Lower Thermosphere

Hanli Liu

Adjourn

Agenda Track

Thursday, February 6th, 2025

Mesa Lab- Damon Room

CHEMISTRY CLIMATE AND WHOLE ATMOSPHERE WORKING GROUPS

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Southern Hemisphere Stratospheric Polar Vortex variability in WACCM6

Xinyue Wang

Tuning the QBO in CESM3-WACCM7

Mijeong Park

A simple parameterization of the effects of secondary gravity waves due to orographic primary gravity waves and its impacts in the upper mesosphere of whole atmosphere models

In-Sun Song

Tidal and Mesoscale Dynamics in Whole Atmosphere Simulations of the Unified Forecast System

Valery Yudin

Meteorologically constrained high-resolution WACCM-X simulations

Nick Pedatella

Preliminary results of WACCM(X) community survey

Martina Bramberger

Adjourn / Break

CGD Seminar

Dillon Amaya

Skillful high-resolution seasonal climate forecasts using model-analogs

Main Seminar Room